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Bond Market Update

Market Update

Thursday, September 21, 2017

What's going on and why does it matter?

Mortgage bonds seem to be resilient in the wake of the Fed's announcement yesterday that they will indeed begin the "Great Unwinding" of their massive $4.5 trillion of bond holdings starting next month. In accordance with their previous guidance, the Fed announced that starting in October, they'll reduce their bond purchases by $10 billion per month (a $6 billion reduction in Treasury purchases and a $4 billion reduction in mortgage bond purchases). In order for interest rates to stay where they are, private investors will need to "fill the Fed's shoes" so to speak and absorb the supply of bonds that were previously being purchased by the Fed. The market has been expecting this for some time now, hence the somewhat muted reaction. As for today, the Fed is scheduled to purchase up to $1.825 billion of GNMA and 15-year conventional mortgage bonds.

What should you do about it?
Watch for mortgage bonds to rebound higher off their 100-day moving average, but lock your rate quickly if bonds break below that critical level of support.


Economic Calendar

Economic reports that may impact mortgage rates this week:

Date Report Period Prior Est. Actual
Tue
19 Sep
Building
Permits
Aug 1.23M 1.22M 1.30M
Tue
19 Sep
Housing
Starts
Aug 1.19M 1.175M 1.18M
Wed
20 Sep
Existing
Home Sales
Aug 5.44M 5.46M 5.35M
Wed
20 Sep
Fed Funds
Target Rate
- 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
Thu
21 Sep
Initial Jobless
Claims
Week of
Sep 11
284k 300k 259k

Pegah Bozorgnia CMPS

Pegah Bozorgnia CMPS
NMLS Number: 910362
Apex Home Loans, Inc.
Corporate NMLS: 2884
pegah@apexhomeloans.com
https://www.apexhomeloans.com/pegah-bozorgnia
(301) 471-8487
3204 Tower Oaks Blvd., Suite 400
Rockville, Maryland 20852

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Apex Home Loans, Inc. NMLS #2884. For more information, please reference the NMLS Consumer Access Website at http://nmlsconsumeraccess.org. Licensed by: DE as a Lender by the Office of the State Bank Commissioner (011603); DC as a Dual Authority Mortgage Lender by the Department of Insurance, Securities and Banking (MLB2884); FL as a Mortgage Lender by the FL Office of Financial Regulation (MLD1088); MD as a Mortgage Lender by the Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation (06-4989); N.J. Department of Banking and Insurance (2884); PA as a Mortgage Lender by the Dept. of Banking & Securities (45078); VA as a Lender and Broker by the State Bank Commissioner (MC1278); and WV as a Mortgage Lender by the WV Division of Financial Institutions (ML-34657).